A FORECASTING MODEL FOR INTERNET SECURITY ATTACKS

Short Description
Internet attacks which CIOs can use to quantify their Internet Security budget based on … against Internet Security attacks? What forecasting model should …

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A FORECASTING MODEL FOR INTERNET SECURITY ATTACKS
Alexander D. Korzyk, Sr, Virginia Commonwealth University
J. G. VanDyke & Associates
4738 Cedar Cliff Rd
Chester VA 23831
804.748.8590
Internet address: akorzyk@acm.org
ABSTRACT
All sizes of enterprises and organizations in the Internet World face the plaguing problem of
Internet Security. One of the biggest problems of Internet Security is getting personnel to report an
attack or a suspected attack. Even large enterprises and organizations which have great resources
at their disposal cannot get their personnel to accurately report more than 1% of Internet Security
attacks. Unfortunately, most enterprises rely on Internet Advisories to defend themselves from an
attack which already occurred in another enterprise. Faced with the dilemma of budgeting to
protect against Internet attacks, the CIO needs to have statistics to support their request for large
sums to defend against Internet attacks. Without personnel reporting a majority of Internet attacks
or suspected attacks, the CIO can only make decisions based on a small amount of data gathered
from the Internet attacks that personnel did report. This paper presents a forecasting model for
Internet attacks which CIOs can use to quantify their Internet Security budget based on a
forecasted number…